A good indicator of how popular someone actually is can also be seen on social media, where Republicans are far more active than they were in 2020 or even 2016. People aren't better off than they were in 2020, so they feel the need to vote out the current administration.
I’d disagree with you on that. Trafalgar and Rasmussen have very good track records for their polls, often either correct or as close as it gets. There are still so many people not comfortable publicly saying they will vote for Trump.
As a forecaster, 2016 isn't 2024. Methodology has seriously changed since then. It is very likely that, if Trump overperforms in the polls, it will be by a very slight margin, not nearly enough to ensure him an Electoral College victory.
On the road to Butler with the unstoppable spirit of Making America Great Again! Keep carrying the torch of freedom and prosperity. Let’s keep this country on the path to greatness!
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