Trump Leads Nationally as Tensions Mount for First Debate with Harris on September 10, 2024

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The first U.S. election debate of 2024 between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is set for tonight, September 10, and it is expected to be a major moment in the campaign. Recent polls from The New York Times/Siena show Trump leading nationally by 1%, which has come as a major surprise. Historically, on this date in 2020, Biden led by 7.5%, and in 2016, Clinton held a 2.7% lead over Trump. The unexpected shift in favor of Trump adds to the pressure as both candidates prepare to address key issues like the economy, national security, and immigration.

Trump has maintained an aggressive stance, questioning Harris's qualifications and downplaying her appeal among key Democratic voting blocs. However, Harris has energized the Democratic base and is focusing on contrasting her policies with those of Trump. Both candidates aim to use tonight's debate to solidify support and win over undecided voters, with the dynamics of the race hinging on their performances.

The build-up to the debate has seen friction between both campaigns, with disputes over debate rules and microphone control adding tension to the event. Trump's camp, confident in its position, plans to continue hammering Harris on her ties to the Biden administration, particularly its policies that remain unpopular among key swing voters​.