Quinnipiac poll shows Trump leading in Michigan and Wisconsin ahead of the election

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A recent poll by Quinnipiac University indicates that former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in two critical battleground states, Michigan and Wisconsin. The survey, conducted between October 3 and 7, found Trump with 50% support in Michigan compared to Harris's 47%, with 2% of respondents favoring other candidates. In Wisconsin, Trump garnered 48% support, while Harris received 46%, again with 2% backing alternative choices.

This poll marks a significant moment for Trump as he leads in states that are essential for any presidential campaign. The poll also highlights the dynamics in Pennsylvania, where Harris leads Trump by 49% to 46%, indicating a tight race in that state as well. The Quinnipiac poll surveyed 1,412 likely voters in Pennsylvania, 1,007 in Michigan, and 1,073 in Wisconsin. The margin of error for the Pennsylvania poll is ±2.6%, for Michigan ±3.1%, and for Wisconsin ±3.0%, suggesting that the race in these states is closely contested.

Polling Analyst Tim Malloy noted the changes in Harris's standing in the Rust Belt as the election approaches. While Trump shows strength in Michigan and Wisconsin, the results differ for Pennsylvania, which has been a competitive state in previous elections. Should Trump win both Wisconsin and Michigan, he may not require Pennsylvania's electoral votes if he performs well in other regions.