Vice President Kamala Harris is experiencing a decline in support among key Democratic voter groups, while former President Donald Trump is making gains, particularly with Hispanic, Black, and Jewish voters. Recent polling data indicates that Trump’s efforts to win over traditionally Democratic constituencies are seeing some success ahead of the upcoming election.
A recent NBC News/Telemundo poll shows Harris leading among Latino voters with 54%, but Trump has risen to 40%, marking an eight-point increase from 2020. A similar poll conducted by Opiniones Latinas found Trump gaining 39% of likely Hispanic voters in seven battleground states. Trump's campaign has focused on economic issues to appeal to these voters.
Trump has also improved his standing with Jewish voters, particularly amid the Israel-Hamas conflict, with some polls showing a near-even split between Harris and Trump in deep-blue states like New York. Trump’s firm stance on Israel appears to resonate with Jewish Americans, while pro-Palestinian protests on college campuses have caused internal divisions within the Democratic coalition.
Trump has also made notable inroads with Black voters, polling 17% in Texas, up from the 6% he earned in 2020. His message has centered around economic concerns, such as inflation and job growth, appealing to minority voters dissatisfied with the current administration's handling of these issues.
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