Vice President Kamala Harris currently leads former President Donald Trump by two points in national polls, though she is encountering difficulties maintaining her early campaign momentum. While her performance surpasses that of President Joe Biden at the same point in the previous election cycle, her lead is significantly lower than both Biden’s and Hillary Clinton’s leads over Trump during their respective campaigns. Harris's position is concerning, as she is tied or holds a narrow lead within the margin of error in six out of seven key swing states.
Despite a surge in support after becoming the presumptive nominee, Harris's campaign has not significantly adjusted its strategy. Both she and Biden have faced criticism for their limited public exposure, as campaign staffers have provided minimal policy details. Democratic lawmakers have expressed concerns about this approach, suggesting that such shielding from the public limits their effectiveness.
Approximately 20% of likely voters remain undecided. In contrast, Biden had a substantial lead among independent voters in 2020, contributing to his narrow victory in Arizona. Presently, Trump holds a four-point lead over Harris with these undecided voters, raising questions about the effectiveness of Harris's campaign strategies.
Without a robust plan to present to the electorate, the vice president faces challenges in convincing undecided voters of her viability as a candidate compared to Trump.
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