Five house races shift toward democrats as Iowa seats become competitive

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The Cook Political Report has updated its electoral ratings for five U.S. House races, shifting them in favor of the Democratic Party. Among the notable changes are two key Republican-held seats in Iowa, which have now been moved from “lean Republican” to “toss-up.”

Miller-Meeks, who is considered by the Cook Political Report to be a "weak incumbent," faces challenges as voters have not fully embraced her. Meanwhile, polling indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris is carrying Iowa's 3rd District, a seat Nunn narrowly won in 2022 against Democrat Cindy Axne.

Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison held a press call in Iowa, highlighting the party’s growing confidence in retaking control of the House. Harrison emphasized the broad geographic scope of the Democrats' efforts, mentioning battleground states like Iowa, New York, and Alabama.

Two Democratic incumbents saw their races shift into safer territory. Rep. Frank Mrvan (IN-1) and Rep. Eric Sorensen (IL-17) had their contests upgraded from “lean Democrat” to “likely Democrat.”

In Montana, Rep. Ryan Zinke (MT-1) faces new challenges, with his seat downgraded from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.” Zinke's past tenure as President Trump’s interior secretary, which included multiple ethics investigations, has emerged as a key issue in his re-election campaign, giving Democrat Monica Tranel, his 2022 opponent, a stronger chance in the rematch.